New York City vs Toronto: Team Comparison
New York CityvsToronto 
Comparing New York City and Toronto across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward New York City — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: New York City carry the stronger recent form, New York City project for more goals (2.20 xG), New York City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York City | Metric | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Strength rating | 25 |
| 62% | Win probability | 17% |
| W W L L D | Recent form | L D D L L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.20 | Expected goals | 0.76 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York City or Toronto?
The model favours New York City at 62%, with the draw at 21%.