Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo: Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas CityvsHouston Dynamo Houston Dynamo

Comparing Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Houston Dynamo — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Houston Dynamo carry the stronger recent form, Houston Dynamo project for more goals (1.68 xG), Sporting Kansas City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Sporting Kansas CityMetricHouston Dynamo
49Strength rating68
26%Win probability48%
W L L W WRecent formW D W W D
2Head-to-head wins2
1.19Expected goals1.68
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Sporting Kansas City or Houston Dynamo?

The model favours Houston Dynamo at 48%, with the draw at 26%.