Atlanta United vs New York Red Bulls: Team Comparison
Atlanta UnitedvsNew York Red Bulls 
Comparing Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Atlanta United — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: New York Red Bulls carry the stronger recent form, Atlanta United project for more goals (1.90 xG), Atlanta United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Atlanta United | Metric | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 49% | Win probability | 31% |
| L L D L L | Recent form | W L L W D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals | 1.21 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Atlanta United or New York Red Bulls?
The model favours Atlanta United at 49%, with the draw at 20%.