Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers: Team Comparison

Chicago Fire Chicago FirevsPortland Timbers Portland Timbers

Comparing Chicago Fire and Portland Timbers across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chicago Fire — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 17%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Portland Timbers carry the stronger recent form, Chicago Fire project for more goals (2.34 xG), Portland Timbers have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Chicago FireMetricPortland Timbers
73Strength rating55
64%Win probability19%
W W W L LRecent formW W W D W
2Head-to-head wins7
2.34Expected goals0.80
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Chicago Fire or Portland Timbers?

The model favours Chicago Fire at 64%, with the draw at 17%.