San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City: Team Comparison
San Jose EarthquakesvsSt. Louis City 
Comparing San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward San Jose Earthquakes — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Louis City carry the stronger recent form, San Jose Earthquakes project for more goals (2.01 xG), San Jose Earthquakes have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| San Jose Earthquakes | Metric | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 52% | Win probability | 27% |
| D L W L L | Recent form | L D W W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.01 | Expected goals | 1.10 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, San Jose Earthquakes or St. Louis City?
The model favours San Jose Earthquakes at 52%, with the draw at 21%.