New York City vs Philadelphia Union: Team Comparison
New York CityvsPhiladelphia Union 
Comparing New York City and Philadelphia Union across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward New York City — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Philadelphia Union carry the stronger recent form, New York City project for more goals (2.23 xG), New York City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York City | Metric | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 46% | Win probability | 32% |
| L L L L L | Recent form | L L D L W |
| 9 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 2.23 | Expected goals | 1.52 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York City or Philadelphia Union?
The model favours New York City at 46%, with the draw at 22%.