Dunfermline Athletic vs Ayr United: Team Comparison
Dunfermline AthleticvsAyr United 
Comparing Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Dunfermline Athletic — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Dunfermline Athletic carry the stronger recent form, Dunfermline Athletic project for more goals (1.64 xG), Dunfermline Athletic have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Dunfermline Athletic | Metric | Ayr United |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 47% | Win probability | 26% |
| L L L W W | Recent form | D W L L L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals | 0.99 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Dunfermline Athletic or Ayr United?
The model favours Dunfermline Athletic at 47%, with the draw at 27%.