Hartberg vs Sturm Graz: Team Comparison
HartbergvsSturm Graz 
Comparing Hartberg and Sturm Graz across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sturm Graz — a 54% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Hartberg carry the stronger recent form, Sturm Graz project for more goals (1.61 xG), Sturm Graz have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Hartberg | Metric | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 68 |
| 23% | Win probability | 54% |
| W W W W D | Recent form | L D W W W |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 0.95 | Expected goals | 1.61 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Hartberg or Sturm Graz?
The model favours Sturm Graz at 54%, with the draw at 23%.