Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves: Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanovsDeportivo Alaves 
Comparing Rayo Vallecano and Deportivo Alaves across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Rayo Vallecano — a 50% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Rayo Vallecano carry the stronger recent form, Rayo Vallecano project for more goals (1.76 xG), Deportivo Alaves have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Rayo Vallecano | Metric | Deportivo Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 38 |
| 50% | Win probability | 21% |
| W L W D W | Recent form | L W L L L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 9 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals | 0.88 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Deportivo Alaves?
The model favours Rayo Vallecano at 50%, with the draw at 29%.