Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla: Team Comparison
Athletic BilbaovsSevilla 
Comparing Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 58% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (1.94 xG), Athletic Bilbao have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Athletic Bilbao | Metric | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 58% | Win probability | 16% |
| L W W L W | Recent form | L W W D W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.94 | Expected goals | 0.71 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Athletic Bilbao or Sevilla?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 58%, with the draw at 26%.