Orlando City vs Chicago Fire: Team Comparison

Orlando City Orlando CityvsChicago Fire Chicago Fire

Comparing Orlando City and Chicago Fire across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chicago Fire — a 44% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Chicago Fire carry the stronger recent form, Chicago Fire have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Orlando CityMetricChicago Fire
35Strength rating53
35%Win probability44%
L L L L LRecent formL W W L L
4Head-to-head wins6
1.83Expected goals1.98
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Orlando City or Chicago Fire?

The model favours Chicago Fire at 44%, with the draw at 21%.