Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City: Team Comparison
Sporting Kansas CityvsSt. Louis City 
Comparing Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward St. Louis City — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Louis City carry the stronger recent form, St. Louis City project for more goals (1.33 xG), Sporting Kansas City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sporting Kansas City | Metric | St. Louis City |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 29% | Win probability | 49% |
| D L W L L | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.97 | Expected goals | 1.33 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sporting Kansas City or St. Louis City?
The model favours St. Louis City at 49%, with the draw at 22%.