Stenhousemuir vs Greenock Morton: Team Comparison

Stenhousemuir StenhousemuirvsGreenock Morton Greenock Morton

Comparing Stenhousemuir and Greenock Morton across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Stenhousemuir — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Stenhousemuir carry the stronger recent form, Stenhousemuir project for more goals (1.64 xG), Greenock Morton have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

StenhousemuirMetricGreenock Morton
63Strength rating39
47%Win probability27%
D W W W WRecent formL L L L L
1Head-to-head wins5
1.64Expected goals0.98
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Stenhousemuir or Greenock Morton?

The model favours Stenhousemuir at 47%, with the draw at 26%.