St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone: Team Comparison
St. MirrenvsSt. Johnstone 
Comparing St. Mirren and St. Johnstone across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward St. Mirren — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: St. Mirren carry the stronger recent form, St. Mirren project for more goals (2.97 xG), St. Mirren have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| St. Mirren | Metric | St. Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 41% | Win probability | 32% |
| W L W W W | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.97 | Expected goals | 2.21 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, St. Mirren or St. Johnstone?
The model favours St. Mirren at 41%, with the draw at 27%.