Ferroviario Maputo vs Baia de Pemba: Team Comparison
Ferroviario MaputovsBaia de Pemba 
Comparing Ferroviario Maputo and Baia de Pemba across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ferroviario Maputo — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ferroviario Maputo carry the stronger recent form, Ferroviario Maputo project for more goals (2.04 xG), Ferroviario Maputo have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ferroviario Maputo | Metric | Baia de Pemba |
|---|---|---|
| 65 | Strength rating | 29 |
| 61% | Win probability | 11% |
| D L D D D | Recent form | L D W L L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.04 | Expected goals | 0.62 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ferroviario Maputo or Baia de Pemba?
The model favours Ferroviario Maputo at 61%, with the draw at 29%.