Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund: Team Comparison
ArsenalvsBorussia Dortmund 
Comparing Arsenal and Borussia Dortmund across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal project for more goals (1.85 xG), Arsenal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Arsenal | Metric | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 57% | Win probability | 21% |
| L W L W W | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.85 | Expected goals | 0.79 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Arsenal or Borussia Dortmund?
The model favours Arsenal at 57%, with the draw at 22%.