Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven: Team Comparison
ExcelsiorvsPSV Eindhoven 
Comparing Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward PSV Eindhoven — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger recent form, PSV Eindhoven project for more goals (1.65 xG), Excelsior have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Excelsior | Metric | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 72 |
| 22% | Win probability | 56% |
| D W L W L | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 14 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 0.90 | Expected goals | 1.65 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Excelsior or PSV Eindhoven?
The model favours PSV Eindhoven at 56%, with the draw at 21%.