Ajax vs Heerenveen: Team Comparison
AjaxvsHeerenveen 
Comparing Ajax and Heerenveen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ajax — a 60% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Heerenveen carry the stronger recent form, Ajax project for more goals (1.90 xG), Heerenveen have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ajax | Metric | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 60% | Win probability | 21% |
| L L D W L | Recent form | W L W W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals | 0.75 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ajax or Heerenveen?
The model favours Ajax at 60%, with the draw at 18%.