Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid: Team Comparison
Manchester CityvsAtletico Madrid 
Comparing Manchester City and Atletico Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester City — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Manchester City project for more goals (1.64 xG), Manchester City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Manchester City | Metric | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 48% | Win probability | 28% |
| W L L D W | Recent form | L W L W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals | 0.99 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Manchester City or Atletico Madrid?
The model favours Manchester City at 48%, with the draw at 25%.