Al Nassr vs Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa: Team Comparison
Al NassrvsAl-Fateh Al-Ahsa 
Comparing Al Nassr and Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Al Nassr — a 81% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 7%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa carry the stronger recent form, Al Nassr project for more goals (2.32 xG), Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Al Nassr | Metric | Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 81% | Win probability | 11% |
| L L D L L | Recent form | W L W L L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 9 |
| 2.32 | Expected goals | 0.37 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Al Nassr or Al-Fateh Al-Ahsa?
The model favours Al Nassr at 81%, with the draw at 7%.