Newcastle United vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Team Comparison
Newcastle UnitedvsBayer 04 Leverkusen 
Comparing Newcastle United and Bayer 04 Leverkusen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Newcastle United — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bayer 04 Leverkusen carry the stronger recent form, Newcastle United project for more goals (1.44 xG), Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Newcastle United | Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Strength rating | 62 |
| 41% | Win probability | 35% |
| L L L L W | Recent form | W W L D L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.44 | Expected goals | 1.17 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Newcastle United or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
The model favours Newcastle United at 41%, with the draw at 24%.