Slovenia vs Republic of North Macedonia: Team Comparison
SloveniavsRepublic of North Macedonia 
Comparing Slovenia and Republic of North Macedonia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Slovenia — a 53% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Republic of North Macedonia carry the stronger recent form, Slovenia project for more goals (1.55 xG), Slovenia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Slovenia | Metric | Republic of North Macedonia |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 32 |
| 53% | Win probability | 18% |
| L D D L L | Recent form | L D W L D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals | 0.75 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Slovenia or Republic of North Macedonia?
The model favours Slovenia at 53%, with the draw at 28%.