New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire: Team Comparison
New York Red BullsvsChicago Fire 
Comparing New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chicago Fire — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chicago Fire carry the stronger recent form, Chicago Fire project for more goals (1.96 xG), New York Red Bulls have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York Red Bulls | Metric | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 48 |
| 32% | Win probability | 45% |
| W L L L L | Recent form | L L W L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.67 | Expected goals | 1.96 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York Red Bulls or Chicago Fire?
The model favours Chicago Fire at 45%, with the draw at 24%.