Luton Town vs Notts County: Team Comparison
Luton TownvsNotts County 
Comparing Luton Town and Notts County across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Luton Town — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Luton Town carry the stronger recent form, Luton Town project for more goals (2.02 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Luton Town | Metric | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 43% | Win probability | 32% |
| D W W | Recent form | D D L |
| 2.02 | Expected goals | 1.46 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Luton Town or Notts County?
The model favours Luton Town at 43%, with the draw at 26%.