Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar: Team Comparison
Fortuna SittardvsAZ Alkmaar 
Comparing Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward AZ Alkmaar — a 54% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Fortuna Sittard carry the stronger recent form, AZ Alkmaar project for more goals (1.59 xG), Fortuna Sittard have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Fortuna Sittard | Metric | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Strength rating | 48 |
| 26% | Win probability | 54% |
| W L W L L | Recent form | L D L L L |
| 12 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 0.97 | Expected goals | 1.59 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Fortuna Sittard or AZ Alkmaar?
The model favours AZ Alkmaar at 54%, with the draw at 20%.