San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United: Team Comparison
San Jose EarthquakesvsMinnesota United 
Comparing San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward San Jose Earthquakes — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Minnesota United carry the stronger recent form, San Jose Earthquakes project for more goals (2.21 xG), Minnesota United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| San Jose Earthquakes | Metric | Minnesota United |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 47% | Win probability | 31% |
| L D L L W | Recent form | D W L L D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals | 1.47 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, San Jose Earthquakes or Minnesota United?
The model favours San Jose Earthquakes at 47%, with the draw at 22%.