Atlanta United vs Sporting Kansas City: Team Comparison
Atlanta UnitedvsSporting Kansas City 
Comparing Atlanta United and Sporting Kansas City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Atlanta United — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atlanta United carry the stronger recent form, Atlanta United project for more goals (1.72 xG), Atlanta United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Atlanta United | Metric | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Strength rating | 36 |
| 61% | Win probability | 19% |
| W W L L D | Recent form | D L L L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals | 0.65 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Atlanta United or Sporting Kansas City?
The model favours Atlanta United at 61%, with the draw at 20%.