Leon vs Monterrey: Team Comparison
LeonvsMonterrey 
Comparing Leon and Monterrey across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Monterrey — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Monterrey carry the stronger recent form, Monterrey project for more goals (1.48 xG), Leon have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Leon | Metric | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 69 |
| 28% | Win probability | 47% |
| L L W W W | Recent form | W W W W L |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals | 1.48 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Leon or Monterrey?
The model favours Monterrey at 47%, with the draw at 25%.