Queretaro vs Deportivo Toluca: Team Comparison
QueretarovsDeportivo Toluca 
Comparing Queretaro and Deportivo Toluca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Deportivo Toluca — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Toluca carry the stronger recent form, Deportivo Toluca project for more goals (1.58 xG), Deportivo Toluca have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Queretaro | Metric | Deportivo Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Strength rating | 65 |
| 24% | Win probability | 52% |
| D L L L W | Recent form | D W L W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 0.99 | Expected goals | 1.58 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Queretaro or Deportivo Toluca?
The model favours Deportivo Toluca at 52%, with the draw at 24%.