Japan vs Ecuador: Team Comparison
JapanvsEcuador 
Comparing Japan and Ecuador across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Japan — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Japan carry the stronger recent form, Japan project for more goals (1.70 xG), Japan have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Japan | Metric | Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 30 |
| 49% | Win probability | 24% |
| W L D W D | Recent form | L L W D L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.70 | Expected goals | 0.93 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Japan or Ecuador?
The model favours Japan at 49%, with the draw at 28%.