Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Team Comparison
ChelseavsBrighton & Hove Albion 
Comparing Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Brighton & Hove Albion carry the stronger recent form, Chelsea project for more goals (1.77 xG), Chelsea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chelsea | Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 45% | Win probability | 29% |
| D L L L W | Recent form | L D L W W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.77 | Expected goals | 1.16 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chelsea or Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model favours Chelsea at 45%, with the draw at 26%.