Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United: Team Comparison
Tottenham HotspurvsNewcastle United 
Comparing Tottenham Hotspur and Newcastle United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Tottenham Hotspur carry the stronger recent form, Tottenham Hotspur project for more goals (1.81 xG), Newcastle United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Tottenham Hotspur | Metric | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 48% | Win probability | 29% |
| D W D W W | Recent form | L L L W L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.81 | Expected goals | 1.12 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Tottenham Hotspur or Newcastle United?
The model favours Tottenham Hotspur at 48%, with the draw at 23%.