New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union: Team Comparison
New York Red BullsvsPhiladelphia Union 
Comparing New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Philadelphia Union — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Philadelphia Union project for more goals (1.89 xG), New York Red Bulls have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| New York Red Bulls | Metric | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 34% | Win probability | 43% |
| D D W W L | Recent form | D W L L W |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.74 | Expected goals | 1.89 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union?
The model favours Philadelphia Union at 43%, with the draw at 23%.