Ashton United vs Ilkeston: Team Comparison
Ashton UnitedvsIlkeston 
Comparing Ashton United and Ilkeston across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ashton United — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ashton United carry the stronger recent form, Ashton United project for more goals (1.87 xG), Ashton United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ashton United | Metric | Ilkeston |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 30 |
| 57% | Win probability | 20% |
| D W L W W | Recent form | L L L W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.87 | Expected goals | 0.78 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ashton United or Ilkeston?
The model favours Ashton United at 57%, with the draw at 23%.