TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund: Team Comparison

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim TSG 1899 HoffenheimvsBorussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund

Comparing TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Borussia Dortmund — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim carry the stronger recent form, Borussia Dortmund have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

TSG 1899 HoffenheimMetricBorussia Dortmund
58Strength rating53
38%Win probability39%
W D L W WRecent formL D W W L
4Head-to-head wins9
1.35Expected goals1.25
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund?

The model favours Borussia Dortmund at 39%, with the draw at 23%.