Bury vs Lancaster City: Team Comparison
BuryvsLancaster City 
Comparing Bury and Lancaster City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bury — a 63% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bury carry the stronger recent form, Bury project for more goals (2.00 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bury | Metric | Lancaster City |
|---|---|---|
| 74 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 63% | Win probability | 16% |
| W L W W D | Recent form | D L L W L |
| 2.00 | Expected goals | 0.66 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bury or Lancaster City?
The model favours Bury at 63%, with the draw at 21%.