Hull City vs Aston Villa: Team Comparison
Hull CityvsAston Villa 
Comparing Hull City and Aston Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Aston Villa — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form, Aston Villa project for more goals (1.54 xG), Hull City have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Hull City | Metric | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Strength rating | 57 |
| 26% | Win probability | 51% |
| L L L L W | Recent form | W L D L D |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.03 | Expected goals | 1.54 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Hull City or Aston Villa?
The model favours Aston Villa at 51%, with the draw at 23%.