Everton vs Manchester United: Team Comparison
EvertonvsManchester United 
Comparing Everton and Manchester United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester United — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Everton carry the stronger recent form, Manchester United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Everton | Metric | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 52 |
| 33% | Win probability | 41% |
| W W D W L | Recent form | L L W D W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 9 |
| 1.25 | Expected goals | 1.34 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Everton or Manchester United?
The model favours Manchester United at 41%, with the draw at 25%.