Arsenal vs Chelsea: Team Comparison
ArsenalvsChelsea 
Comparing Arsenal and Chelsea across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal project for more goals (1.93 xG), Arsenal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Arsenal | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 59% | Win probability | 17% |
| W W W L L | Recent form | W W D W L |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.93 | Expected goals | 0.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Arsenal or Chelsea?
The model favours Arsenal at 59%, with the draw at 24%.