Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor Tashkent: Team Comparison
Al-Ahli JeddahvsPakhtakor Tashkent 
Comparing Al-Ahli Jeddah and Pakhtakor Tashkent across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Al-Ahli Jeddah — a 73% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 15%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Pakhtakor Tashkent carry the stronger recent form, Al-Ahli Jeddah project for more goals (2.19 xG), Al-Ahli Jeddah have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Metric | Pakhtakor Tashkent |
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 73% | Win probability | 12% |
| W L W L L | Recent form | W W L D D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals | 0.49 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Al-Ahli Jeddah or Pakhtakor Tashkent?
The model favours Al-Ahli Jeddah at 73%, with the draw at 15%.