China vs New Zealand: Team Comparison
ChinavsNew Zealand 
Comparing China and New Zealand across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward China — a 40% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: China carry the stronger recent form, China project for more goals (1.45 xG), China have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| China | Metric | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 40% | Win probability | 34% |
| D W W D L | Recent form | L D W L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.45 | Expected goals | 1.16 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, China or New Zealand?
The model favours China at 40%, with the draw at 26%.