Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: Team Comparison

Liverpool LiverpoolvsAtletico Madrid Atletico Madrid

Comparing Liverpool and Atletico Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Liverpool — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Liverpool project for more goals (1.85 xG), Atletico Madrid have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

LiverpoolMetricAtletico Madrid
71Strength rating43
56%Win probability21%
W D D W DRecent formL W D W W
4Head-to-head wins5
1.85Expected goals0.79
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Liverpool or Atletico Madrid?

The model favours Liverpool at 56%, with the draw at 23%.