Liverpool vs Atletico Madrid: Team Comparison
Comparing Liverpool and Atletico Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Liverpool — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Liverpool project for more goals (1.85 xG), Atletico Madrid have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Liverpool | Metric | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 56% | Win probability | 21% |
| W D D W D | Recent form | L W D W W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.85 | Expected goals | 0.79 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Liverpool or Atletico Madrid?
The model favours Liverpool at 56%, with the draw at 23%.