Napoli vs Arsenal: Team Comparison
NapolivsArsenal 
Comparing Napoli and Arsenal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 60% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Arsenal carry the stronger recent form, Arsenal project for more goals (1.76 xG), Arsenal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Napoli | Metric | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Strength rating | 83 |
| 18% | Win probability | 60% |
| L L W W D | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 0.78 | Expected goals | 1.76 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Napoli or Arsenal?
The model favours Arsenal at 60%, with the draw at 22%.