Milan vs Benfica: Team Comparison
MilanvsBenfica 
Comparing Milan and Benfica across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Milan — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Benfica carry the stronger recent form, Milan project for more goals (1.53 xG), Milan have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Milan | Metric | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 59 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| D W W W L | Recent form | W W W W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.53 | Expected goals | 1.08 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Milan or Benfica?
The model favours Milan at 43%, with the draw at 26%.