Ajax vs Willem II: Team Comparison
AjaxvsWillem II 
Comparing Ajax and Willem II across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ajax — a 78% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 9%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Willem II carry the stronger recent form, Ajax project for more goals (2.51 xG), Willem II have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ajax | Metric | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 78% | Win probability | 13% |
| D W D W L | Recent form | W W W L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 12 |
| 2.51 | Expected goals | 0.48 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ajax or Willem II?
The model favours Ajax at 78%, with the draw at 9%.