Manchester United vs Manchester City: Team Comparison
Manchester UnitedvsManchester City 
Comparing Manchester United and Manchester City across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester United — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Manchester City carry the stronger recent form, Manchester United project for more goals (1.88 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Manchester United | Metric | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 39% | Win probability | 35% |
| L D L D D | Recent form | L W W L W |
| 1.88 | Expected goals | 1.56 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Manchester United or Manchester City?
The model favours Manchester United at 39%, with the draw at 26%.