Lorient vs Toulouse: Team Comparison
LorientvsToulouse 
Comparing Lorient and Toulouse across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Lorient — a 38% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Lorient carry the stronger recent form, Lorient project for more goals (1.43 xG), Lorient have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Lorient | Metric | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 54 |
| 38% | Win probability | 34% |
| W D W W L | Recent form | W W D L L |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.43 | Expected goals | 1.18 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Lorient or Toulouse?
The model favours Lorient at 38%, with the draw at 28%.