Malawi vs South Sudan: Team Comparison
MalawivsSouth Sudan 
Comparing Malawi and South Sudan across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Malawi — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Malawi carry the stronger recent form, Malawi project for more goals (1.96 xG), South Sudan have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Malawi | Metric | South Sudan |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 64% | Win probability | 13% |
| W W L D W | Recent form | D L L L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.96 | Expected goals | 0.64 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Malawi or South Sudan?
The model favours Malawi at 64%, with the draw at 23%.