Sudan vs Ethiopia: Team Comparison
SudanvsEthiopia 
Comparing Sudan and Ethiopia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Sudan — a 50% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ethiopia carry the stronger recent form, Sudan project for more goals (1.66 xG), Sudan have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Sudan | Metric | Ethiopia |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 46 |
| 50% | Win probability | 23% |
| L L W L L | Recent form | D W W W L |
| 8 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals | 0.94 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Sudan or Ethiopia?
The model favours Sudan at 50%, with the draw at 27%.