Nigeria vs Madagascar: Team Comparison
NigeriavsMadagascar 
Comparing Nigeria and Madagascar across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Nigeria — a 73% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 17%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Madagascar carry the stronger recent form, Nigeria project for more goals (2.12 xG), Madagascar have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Nigeria | Metric | Madagascar |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 73% | Win probability | 10% |
| L D W L L | Recent form | L D W L D |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 2.12 | Expected goals | 0.48 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Nigeria or Madagascar?
The model favours Nigeria at 73%, with the draw at 17%.